Manitoba's Infrastructure Minister announced Friday that the risk of overland flooding in the province is slightly reduced since February, but remains moderate to major.

"The province's Hydrologic Forecast Centre continues to monitor precipitation, spring melt and inflows from the northern United States and the Souris River basin to the west," says Blaine Pedersen. "At this time, the Souris River basin continues to be of concern while favourable weather conditions have eased expected flows in the Red River Basin. Based on the current outlook, the chance of closing Highway 75 during the spring runoff is low."

The potential for spring runoff is generally normal to above normal throughout all watersheds, with the exception of the Souris River basin which has above normal to well above normal runoff potential. At this time, it is anticipated the province's major flood infrastructure, including the Red River Floodway and the Portage Diversion, would be activated under unfavourable weather conditions.

With unfavourable weather, the outlook suggests a major risk of flooding in watersheds in the southwestern region, eastern region and the Winnipeg River, moderate to major risk along the Pembina, Roseau and Assiniboine rivers, and moderate risk in the Interlake region, along the Fisher River and Red River and in the northern Manitoba/ The Pas regions as well as the Saskatchewan, Carrot and Swan rivers.

With normal weather, levels along the Red River from Emerson to the floodway inlet will be similar to 2013 and with unfavourable weather, levels would be similar to 2010.

With normal weather, levels along the Pembina River would be similar to 1998 and with unfavourable weather, levels would be lower than 2011.

With normal weather, levels along the Roseau River would be similar to 2013 and with unfavourable weather, levels would be similar to 2011.

With normal weather, levels along the Assiniboine River from Shellmouth to Brandon would be similar to 2009 but lower than 2005 and levels from Brandon to Portage would be similar to 1995 levels. With unfavourable weather, levels from Shellmouth to Brandon would be slightly lower than 1976 or 1995 and levels from Brandon to Portage would be less than 2011 or the summer of 2014.

With normal weather, levels along the Souris River at Wawanesa would be similar to 2014 summer levels and with unfavourable weather, levels would be lower than 1976 and 2011.

With normal weather, levels along the Fisher River would be similar to 2006 and with unfavourable weather, levels would be lower than 2008.

The province warns Dauphin Lake remains a concern at this time. Even with normal future weather conditions, the lake could rise above the flood stage. With unfavourable weather conditions between now and the spring runoff, the lake could rise more than 1.5 feet above flood stage.